FinanceResolved
NVIDIA top market cap on Jul 31?
current likelihood hits 100% as the judgment window closes, confirming NVIDIA as the world's largest company by market cap.
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Yes
WorldResolved
US halts Iran ops by Jul 31?
current likelihood has risen to 100% that the US will announce a halt to offensive operations, unaffected by recent military escalations.
Yes
FinanceResolved
Fed holds rates after July 2026?
current likelihood has fully priced in the Fed holding rates steady at the July meeting, with the probability hitting 100%, and no new events this period challenged that certainty.
Yes
FinanceResolved
Fed hikes 25bps after July 2026?
current likelihood fell a further 0.1 pp to 0.0%, with the probability of a rate hike now completely zero.
No
WorldResolved
Trump meets Netanyahu by Jul 31?
current likelihood hit 100%, meeting has occurred; confirmed by events this period.
Yes
Question trackingResolved
LeBron on Heat in 2026-27?
current likelihood for "Yes" dropped from 0.05% to 0%, with the possibility now completely zero.
No
FinanceResolved
WTI hits $90 in July?
current likelihood has risen to 100%, with WTI Crude Oil hitting a high of $90 in July now seen as a complete certainty.
Yes
Question trackingResolved
2026 World Cup winner?
current likelihood shows Spain (100%) has won the championship, with Argentina (0%) defeated, settling the title race.
Spain