FinanceResolved
Bitcoin reaches $80,000 in August?
Current likelihood hit 100%, yet the news vacuum remains absolute and only about 7 days remain.
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Yes
FinanceResolved
Bitcoin reaches $72,500 in August?
Current likelihood remains at 100%, with the target being reached treated as a certainty.
Yes
FinanceResolved
WTI hits $85 in August?
Current likelihood hit 100%, but with no new events in the period, the synthesized read remains unchanged.
Yes
FinanceResolved
NVIDIA top market cap on Jul 31?
current likelihood hits 100% as the judgment window closes, confirming NVIDIA as the world's largest company by market cap.
Yes
FinanceResolved
Fed holds rates after July 2026?
current likelihood has fully priced in the Fed holding rates steady at the July meeting, with the probability hitting 100%, and no new events this period challenged that certainty.
Yes
FinanceResolved
Fed hikes 25bps after July 2026?
current likelihood fell a further 0.1 pp to 0.0%, with the probability of a rate hike now completely zero.
No
FinanceResolved
WTI hits $90 in July?
current likelihood has risen to 100%, with WTI Crude Oil hitting a high of $90 in July now seen as a complete certainty.
Yes