TechnologyResolved
Anthropic no Fable 5.2, 73.5% No—release slowdown?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
Question tracking
Ask a question. Follow the answer.
Get a current estimate, save it, and see how it changes with new information.
Tracked questions
Resolved questions
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
CS2 match priced 99.95% over 2.5 maps, but did it occur?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
Will 50-50 resolution of interrupted Mallorca match affect future prediction market pricing?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
Yellow Submarine 99.95% favorite: match completed or 50-50?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
fnatic 2-0 win over HOTU: significant edge or HOTU errors?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
How does price discovery efficiency of TWAP-based BNB market compare to spot-based?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
Gemini 4 Argon score ≥60% on Humanity's Last Exam?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
No
TechnologyResolved
How does TWAP data affect accuracy in Ethereum prediction market?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
Does 50-50 resolution for interrupted Mallorca match undermine fairness?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
Could the 50-50 settlement for the postponed CS2 final enable manipulation?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
Ultra Kill probability in Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity Game 1
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
Will Gemini 4 Argon score 45%+ on debut?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
Yes
TechnologyResolved
Can FlyQuest reverse Game 2 by exploiting Team WE complacency?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
Gemini 4.0 release probability <1%: delay or strategy shift?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
Does Overtake's 99.95% with postponement rule misprice risk?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
Do Chainlink TWAP-spot discrepancies cause Bitcoin 5-min market mismatches?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
No
TechnologyResolved
Likelihood of Google releasing Gemini 4.0 by Oct 31, 2026
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
Will Google release Gemini 4.0 by Oct 16, 2026?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
Yes
TechnologyResolved
Will Google's Gemini 4.0 be publicly released by October 14, 2026?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
Yes
TechnologyResolved
Will Google release Gemini 4.0 to the public by October 23, 2026?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
Yes
TechnologyResolved
Will Google release Gemini 4.0 by Oct 13, 2026?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
Yes
TechnologyResolved
Will Google's Gemini 4.0 be publicly released by October 15, 2026?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
Yes
TechnologyResolved
Will Meta's 'Watermelon' model be released on Oct 20, 2026?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details
TechnologyResolved
Likelihood of Meta releasing 'Watermelon' model by Oct 31, 2026?
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
View closure details