Iran Gambles on Outlasting Trump in Peace Negotiations Amid Shaky Ceasefire
Iran's leadership is strategically betting that it can outlast US President Donald Trump in ongoing peace negotiations, despite the risks of renewed military confrontation and escalating domestic tensions. Following a US-Israeli war against the Islamic Republic that began earlier in 2026, a fragile ceasefire has held for approximately two and a half months. However, President Trump has angrily rejected Iran's latest settlement proposals, warning that the truce is nearing collapse. Analysts indicate that Tehran believes it holds a strategic advantage by blocking the Strait of Hormuz, leveraging rising oil prices to pressure the US ahead of midterm elections. Although Iran suffers from significant infrastructure damage, economic struggle, and internal discontent following the killing of former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, its current leadership remains ideologically driven and willing to absorb economic pain to avoid surrender. Experts warn that while Iran seeks to extract concessions through this high-stakes gamble, the strategy risks backfiring, potentially triggering further military action by the US or Israel if Trump loses patience with the stalemate.
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