Ukraine expects no Black Sea ceasefire in coming months; Russia strikes cargo ship near Odesa

Military Developments

1. Ukraine does not expect a ceasefire in the Black Sea region in the coming months.

1. A fire at an enterprise in Russia's Yaroslavl Oblast has resulted in 13 fatalities.

1. Poland issued an alert stating that its air forces have been activated in response to Russian airstrikes on Ukraine.

1. An oil depot in Russia's Krasnodar region was attacked. Local authorities reported that the attack caused fires at three civilian infrastructure sites.

1. Kyiv Mayor reported that a drone struck a non-residential building in the Shevchenkivskyi district of central Kyiv, sparking a fire. Emergency services are responding.

1. Russian forces struck a cargo ship carrying military supplies en route to Ukraine's Odesa port during a nighttime attack. The strikes also targeted Ukraine's energy infrastructure, data centers, logistics hubs, and a military airfield.

1. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that Russia attacked multiple regions of Ukraine overnight. Kyiv sustained damage from drone strikes, including to residential buildings, communication infrastructure, and a gas station. In Odesa Oblast, a vessel flying the flag of Palau was hit.

1. General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported:

• 229 combat engagements recorded in the past day
• Enemy conducted 90 airstrikes, dropping 277 guided aerial bombs
• 8,845 suicide drones deployed
• 2,918 attacks on residential areas and Ukrainian positions
• Ukrainian defense forces struck 2 enemy personnel concentration areas and 4 enemy drone command posts
• Russian troop losses in the past day: 2,090 personnel

Other Developments

1. Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree ordering another expansion of the Russian military.

1. The European Union may develop a roadmap for Ukraine and other countries to join the bloc.

1. Kremlin stated that bilateral relations between Russia and Germany are now "close to zero."

1. Ukraine's Finance Minister reported an uncovered budget gap of $32.6 billion by 2027.

1. The EU failed to reach an agreement on providing additional Patriot missile systems to Ukraine.

1. British media reported that as Russia's "hybrid war" escalates, the EU is considering a NATO-like joint response mechanism.

1. EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Kaja Kallas stated: "We see in intelligence reports that Russia is planning more acts of sabotage."