US June CPI falls 0.4% MoM, largest monthly drop since April 2020

By Jing Pan Thu, July 16, 2026 at 9:20 AM PDT | 10 min read

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The cost of living in America has risen sharply in recent years. But the latest consumer price report offered an unexpectedly encouraging sign that inflationary pressures may finally be easing.

That became clear on CNBC, where anchor Rick Santelli reacted to the numbers in real time.

"Here we go — this is our June release of the consumer price index, expecting a headline negative number to be negative one-tenth of a percent. This is four times more negative!" Santelli exclaimed as he read through the Bureau of Labor Statistics update.

"Minus four-tenths of a percent, that would be the biggest negative drop we've seen since [April 2020] — since basically COVID timing."

The headline consumer price index fell 0.4% from May to June, marking its largest one-month decline in more than six years. The energy index, which plunged 5.7% during the month, was the biggest contributor to the drop.

But what appeared to surprise Santelli even more was the core inflation reading, which excludes volatile food and energy prices.

"If we look at the CPI month-over-month on the core, also under expectations — comes in at goose egg! Zero," he said, forming a large zero with his hand. "Zero would be the smallest amount, it would equal Jan of 2021."

White House Response

The better-than-expected June numbers also prompted Kevin Hassett, director of the White House National Economic Council, to take aim at the economists who had underestimated the decline.

"If you look at Bloomberg, they surveyed 67 economists and 67 economists got it wrong because they didn't understand that it wasn't just about energy, it's about these other things President Trump is doing to cut costs," Hassett told Fox News.

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had expected a much smaller 0.1% decline in CPI.

Hassett did not mince words, calling it "absolutely the best inflation report we have seen in six years."

The Bigger Picture

Still, one strong monthly report does not mean America's cost-of-living crisis is over.

Despite the larger-than-expected decline from May, consumer prices remained 3.5% higher than they were a year earlier — a point viewers were quick to emphasize. The top comment on CNBC's YouTube clip read: "Remember 3.5% is awful."

Zoom out further, and the scale of the problem becomes even clearer:

• Although the rate of inflation has cooled considerably from its 2022 peak, Americans are still grappling with the higher prices left behind by the post-pandemic surge.
• Since the beginning of 2020, the U.S. consumer price index has climbed by more than 28%.
• The prices of necessities have risen even faster, with the CPI's food and shelter indexes both surging by more than 30% over the same period.

Risks Ahead

Fresh geopolitical pressure could also threaten June's relief. With the Iran war reigniting and oil prices climbing again, experts warn that the latest decline in inflation may prove short-lived.

The blunt reality is, inflation has been eroding the purchasing power of the dollar for decades — regardless of who occupied the White House. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, $100 in 2026 has the same purchasing power as just $11.74 did in 1970.

That's right. $100 became less than $12.

This is why some Americans are looking beyond cash and traditional savings when thinking about how to protect their purchasing power.

Three Time-Tested Strategies

Own What the Fed Can't Print

When it comes to preserving wealth and fighting inflation, few assets have stood the test of time like gold.

Its appeal is simple: unlike fiat currencies, the yellow metal can't be printed at will by central banks. This inherently limited supply can help it store value, especially during periods of monetary expansion and rising prices.