The War, the Oil Crisis and American Politics
The article analyzes the escalating oil crisis driven by the war in Iran, specifically Iran's strategy to close the Strait of Hormuz to create an economic and political crisis in the United States. Global oil reserves are reaching limits, causing soaring prices and a real possibility of oil shortages. The war, intended to be short and decisive, has become protracted, leading to declining approval ratings for the Trump administration. The US faces a difficult military option to reopen the strait, complicated by Iran's effective use of the IRGC and Artesh, long-range drones, and the unwillingness of private insurers to cover vessels. The analysis draws parallels to past US wars, noting that prolonged conflicts without quick victory tend to erode public support and create political crises.
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