Analysis of the US Power-Sharing Plan for Libya and Its Limitations
This analytical piece from the Atlantic Council examines the nascent US initiative to broker a power-sharing agreement in Libya, driven primarily by Massad Boulos, a senior advisor in the second Trump administration. Unlike previous US approaches characterized by neglect, this effort reflects an 'economy-first' strategy focusing on energy and investment opportunities in resource-rich nations. The article argues that while the plan may reduce tensions and create a more predictable environment for foreign businesses, it fails to address Libya's deeper structural issues. The initiative gains momentum due to political fatigue among traditional external actors like Turkey, which is cautiously engaging with the Haftar faction, and shifting regional alignments involving the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt. These geopolitical shifts, including divergences over Sudan and Iran, have created a window for US diplomacy. However, the analysis concludes that brokering deals among entrenched interests without comprehensive institutional strategy or direct engagement from top administration officials like President Trump or Secretary of State Marco Rubio will not achieve lasting structural transformation in Libya.
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