Story · Tesla
Tesla Down 17% in 2026; Wednesday's Earnings Event Key for Stock Recovery
Tesla (TSLA) shares are down 17% year-to-date in 2026 ahead of its Q2 earnings report on July 22. Wall Street expects adjusted EPS of $0.50-$0.54 on revenue of $25.7-$25.8 billion, implying 25% EPS growth and 15% revenue growth year-over-year. Options markets are pricing an 8% post-earnings swing. Key focus areas include automotive margins (Q1 was 21%), capital spending ($25B raised from $20B), and autonomy progress. Tesla's Robotaxi service lags Alphabet's Waymo, which now runs 500,000+ fully autonomous rides weekly. Energy storage deployed a record 13.5 GWh in Q2. Polymarket contracts show a 75.5% probability of an EPS beat, though volumes are light. The article also promotes an AI stock list that excludes Tesla.
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