Analysis of US Policy Shifts on Cuba Under Obama, Biden, and Trump
This Fair Observer article features a discussion between Laura Pavón Aramburú and Professor William M. LeoGrande regarding the sharp decline in US-Cuba relations under President Donald Trump. The analysis contrasts Trump’s strategy of economic coercion and secondary sanctions on oil suppliers with Barack Obama’s earlier policy of diplomatic engagement and normalization. LeoGrande argues that Trump’s approach, aimed at strangling the Cuban economy to force political change, has failed to achieve its goals while significantly worsening the island’s humanitarian and energy crises. The tightening of the long-standing embargo and pressure on countries like Mexico, Algeria, and Angola to halt oil shipments have disrupted transportation and electricity production in Cuba. The piece also draws parallels to US regime-change strategies in Venezuela, suggesting that Washington’s demands for leadership changes in Havana remain a major obstacle to negotiation. LeoGrande posits that while economic normalization is possible, political dictates are non-starters for Cuban officials. The discussion highlights the ineffectiveness of decades-long sanctions in producing meaningful political reform and underscores the severe social impact of current US policies on the Cuban population.
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