Elon Musk Claims SpaceX Will Be Worth More Than Earth, Bond Market Disagrees
Elon Musk stated on July 17, 2026, that SpaceX will be worth more than Earth if it achieves its goals, following its record $85.7 billion IPO in June. However, the bond market is signaling skepticism. SpaceX issued $25 billion in debt across five tranches with maturities from 2031 to 2056, but bond prices have fallen sharply since trading began, especially for longer-dated bonds. For example, the 2056 bond dropped from 99.45 cents to 91.07 cents. This decline indicates bond traders see high risk, as yields rise inversely to prices. The market doubts SpaceX's ability to generate recurring profits and meet debt obligations, given capital-intensive operations like xAI and space infrastructure. The analysis suggests the bond market does not believe SpaceX will become worth more than Earth or remain a top public company.
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