Ask a question. Follow the answer.

WorldTracking

Russia strike Kyiv Oct 20 at 16.5%: significant shift?

October 20, 2026, probability Russia launches air or missile strike on Kyiv.

The next assessment is incomplete; the last complete assessment is retained.

View evidence and history

WorldTracking

Russia strike Kyiv Oct 18 at 13.5%: how will it shift?

As of October 14, 2026, probability Russia launches air or missile strike on Kyiv on October 18.

The next assessment is incomplete; the last complete assessment is retained.

View evidence and history

WorldTracking

In Mall of America plot, what responsibility do social media platforms bear for youth radicalization?

Case: Mall of America terror plot; suspect: 18-year-old allegedly influenced by ISIS online recruitment.

Watching: 后续可能出现的关于社交媒体平台责任的政策讨论或法律诉讼。

The next assessment is incomplete; the last complete assessment is retained.

View evidence and history

WorldTracking

How will international aviation security adapt to non-state threats after Houthi attacks on Saudi airports?

Houthi; missile attacks; Saudi international airports; civil aviation disruption; international aviation security mechanisms; non-state actors; civilian infrastructure

Watching: 国际民航组织、欧盟航空安全局等机构发布新的安全通告或政策调整。

The next assessment is incomplete; the last complete assessment is retained.

View evidence and history

WorldTracking

2026 midterms: Does 50% probability for Democrats winning 4 Tennessee House seats signal political shift?

2026 midterm elections; Democrats; Tennessee; House seats; exactly 4; 50% probability

The next assessment is incomplete; the last complete assessment is retained.

View evidence and history

WorldTracking

Why is divided Congress (Dem Senate, GOP House) probability below 1% in 2026?

2026 U.S. midterm elections; Democratic Senate; Republican House; divided Congress; three weeks before election; probability below 1%

The next assessment is incomplete; the last complete assessment is retained.

View evidence and history