SpaceX Faces $100 Billion Lockup Expiration as Stock Surges Despite Earnings Concerns
On August 6, 2026, SpaceX experienced its largest share lockup expiration, releasing 911.5 million shares worth ~$100 billion for trading, more than doubling the public float. Despite fears of a price crash, the stock surged 21% the following week, driven by strong Q2 earnings (revenue up 92% YoY, AI revenue up 247%) and bullish analyst notes. The company mitigated the supply shock by securing accelerated inclusion in major indexes, forcing passive funds to buy shares. However, concerns remain over heavy AI spending ($15.8 billion in Q2) and slowing Starlink growth.