Wire flash
CDU and Left Party tied at 20% in Berlin election poll
Editorial responsibility
- No named human review is recorded for this page.
- Source reporting is collected, normalized, translated or condensed automatically when needed.
- Automatically published source-backed update
A new Insa survey published by Bild and reported by Die Welt on September 14, 2026, shows the CDU and the Left Party tied at 20 percent each in the race for the Berlin House of Representatives, just days before the election. The AfD follows at 18 percent, the Greens at 16 percent, and the SPD has fallen to 12 percent, a three-point drop from the previous survey ten days earlier. The Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) stands at 5 percent, which would allow it to enter the House of Representatives. The SPD's decline is partly attributed to investigations against its top candidate Steffen Krach, who is accused by the Hanover public prosecutor of improperly requesting a party donation twice and passing on business secrets during a property sale; Krach rejects the allegations and the presumption of innocence applies. According to the survey, two coalition options are computationally possible: CDU, SPD, and Greens together would reach 48 percent, as would the Left, SPD, and Greens. The survey interviewed 1,000 people between September 7 and 14, with a margin of error of plus/minus 3.1 percentage points.
Source report
A new Insa poll conducted just days before the Berlin House of Representatives election shows the CDU and the Left Party tied at 20 percent each, setting the stage for a tight race. Two potential governing coalitions are mathematically possible.
Key Findings
According to the Insa survey commissioned by Bild, the current standings are as follows:
- CDU: 20 percent (unchanged)
- Left Party: 20 percent (+1 point)
- AfD: 18 percent (unchanged)
- Greens: 16 percent (+1)
- SPD: 12 percent (-1)
- BSW: 5 percent (+2)
- FDP: 3 percent (unchanged)
- Other: 7 percent (-1)
Coalition Scenarios
The survey indicates that both the CDU and the Left Party have comparable coalition options:
- CDU, SPD, and Greens together would reach 48 percent.
- Left Party, SPD, and Greens would also reach 48 percent.
According to Bild, nearly half of voters (46 percent) want the SPD to remain in government, while only 39 percent favor the Left Party.
SPD Decline and Allegations
The Social Democrats suffered the largest drop, losing three points compared to the previous survey ten days ago. The poll was conducted partly after news broke of investigations against SPD top candidate Steffen Krach.
Krach has stated that the Hanover public prosecutor accuses him of requesting a party donation twice. Additionally, during his tenure as president of the Hanover region, he is alleged to have improperly disclosed business secrets in a property sale process. The presumption of innocence applies, and Krach denies the allegations.
About the Poll
Election surveys are always subject to uncertainty. Factors such as weakening party loyalty and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it difficult for research institutes to weight collected data. Surveys reflect only the opinion at the time of polling and are not predictions of the final election outcome.
Survey details:
- Error tolerance: ±3.1 percentage points
- Sample size: 1,000 respondents
- Survey period: September 7–14, 2026
— with dpa
Source
Nachrichten - WELTWestern
Part of this Story
Left Party and CDU tied at 20% in Berlin election days before vote