Tesla Poised for 12% Rally as Profit Margins Improve
A 24/7 Wall St. analysis published on Yahoo Finance predicts Tesla (TSLA) stock has 12.39% upside to a $439.50 target over 12 months, with 90% model confidence. The stock trades at $391.06, 15% below its 52-week high. Key fundamentals include Q1 2026 revenue growth of 15.78% to $22.39 billion, automotive gross margin expansion to 21.1% from 16.2%, free cash flow surge of 117% to $1.44 billion, and 1.28 million FSD subscribers (up 51%). Bull case catalysts include Cybercab production, Semi ramp, and unsupervised FSD rollout. Bear risks include a trailing P/E of 357, energy storage revenue decline, rising operating expenses, and insider selling. The analysis contrasts Tesla with Rivian (projected $2B EBITDA loss) and Ford ($55.5B market cap with 5.4% dividend yield), framing Tesla as an autonomy and robotics play.
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