Costa Rica Braces for Active Pacific Hurricane Season Amid El Niño Forecast

The Pacific hurricane season has officially commenced, with regional meteorological authorities forecasting an active period for Central America through November 30. Agencies in Guatemala, Honduras, and Costa Rica have moved into operational readiness as experts predict between 18 and 21 tropical systems in the Pacific basin this year. Driven by El Niño conditions, which typically shift storm activity toward the Pacific coast while suppressing Caribbean development, eight to ten of these systems are expected to reach hurricane strength. Furthermore, three to five storms may intensify into major Category 3 hurricanes or higher. This pattern poses significant risks for Costa Rica’s Pacific slope, including heavier rainfall, stronger swells, and elevated landslide potential. Although the Caribbean outlook is less severe, officials urge continued vigilance, particularly during the late-season peak in October and November when rapid intensification is more likely. Costa Rican emergency officials are coordinating with regional counterparts to monitor tropical waves that could cause flooding and mudslides, even without direct landfall. Residents and tourists along the Pacific coast are advised to follow updates from the National Meteorological Institute and the National Emergency Commission throughout the season.