Question trackingResolved
Table tennis win 99.5% vs 50-50: match played?
In the Setka Cup Ukraine Men's table tennis match on October 12, 2026, Fashchevskyi Ivan was predicted to win with 99.5% probability against Maltsev Denys, but the result has not been announced. Given the market rules state that if the match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days it resolves 50-50, and the current prediction probability deviates significantly from 50-50, does this imply the match was played normally and Fashchevskyi Ivan won?
Closing recap
Across 2 public assessments, the state moved from “Public tracking started; no independent probability estimate yet” to “The final market result has been verified; this question is closed”. Final assessment: Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast
Closing basis
The final public baseline shows Maltsev Denys vs. Fashchevskyi Ivan 0%. This is a terminal probability signal, not independent news verification or formal settlement.
Final result
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
Final result
Maltsev Denys vs. Fashchevskyi IvanClosed
Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast.
How we read it
All linked outcomes verified
Earlier updates
- — Public tracking started; no independent probability estimate yet.; Starting public context: This market refers to the table tennis match between Maltsev Denys and Fashchevskyi Ivan in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 12 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maltsev Denys' if Maltsev Denys wins against Fashchevskyi Ivan. This market will resolve to 'Fashchevskyi Ivan' if Fashchevskyi Ivan wins against Maltsev Denys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
- — The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.; Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast.