FinanceResolved
Parnu vs Nomme Kalju: Does cancellation resolving 'Yes' cause overpricing?
The market priced a 99.5% chance that the Parnu JK Vaprus vs. Nomme Kalju FC match on October 13, 2026, would not end in a draw, yet the rules state a cancellation resolves to 'Yes'. Could this rule lead to overpricing of the cancellation risk?
Closing recap
Across 2 public assessments, the state moved from “Public tracking started; no independent probability estimate yet” to “The final market result has been verified; this question is closed”. Final assessment: Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast
Closing basis
The final public baseline shows Will Parnu JK Vaprus vs. Nomme Kalju FC end in a draw? 100%. This is a terminal probability signal, not independent news verification or formal settlement.
Final result
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
Final result
Will Parnu JK Vaprus vs. Nomme Kalju FC end in a draw?Closed
Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast.
How we read it
All linked outcomes verified
Earlier updates
- — Public tracking started; no independent probability estimate yet.; Starting public context: This event is for the upcoming Premium Liiga game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 13, 2026 between Parnu JK Vaprus and Nomme Kalju FC.
- — The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.; Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast.