Question trackingResolved
Does cancel-match 'Yes' rule diverge market from actual result?
In the October 12, 2026 match between FK Liepaja and FK Auda Riga, the market prices a 99.95% chance that the halftime result is not a draw, but has the match actually been played? If the match is canceled, the market resolves to 'Yes' per the rules—could this rule cause the prediction market outcome to diverge from the actual match result?
Closing recap
Across 2 public assessments, the state moved from “Public tracking started; no independent probability estimate yet” to “The final market result has been verified; this question is closed”. Final assessment: Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast
Closing basis
The final public baseline shows FK Liepaja vs. FK Auda Riga: Draw at halftime? 0%. This is a terminal probability signal, not independent news verification or formal settlement.
Final result
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
Final result
FK Liepaja vs. FK Auda Riga: Draw at halftime?Closed
Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast.
How we read it
All linked outcomes verified
Earlier updates
- — Public tracking started; no independent probability estimate yet.; Starting public context: In the upcoming Virslīga game between FK Liepaja and FK Auda Riga, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- — The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.; Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast.