Question trackingResolved
Is Gribcov's 99.95% win probability vs Plescaci genuine?
In the Setka Cup Moldova Men table tennis match on October 12, 2026, Gribcov Dmitri was priced at 99.95% to beat Plescaci Vitalie, but the result is not yet public. If Gribcov wins, does this overwhelming favorite status reflect a genuine skill gap, or was the market overpriced?
Closing recap
Across 2 public assessments, the state moved from “Public tracking started; no independent probability estimate yet” to “The final market result has been verified; this question is closed”. Final assessment: Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast
Closing basis
The final public baseline shows Gribcov Dmitri vs. Plescaci Vitalie 100%. This is a terminal probability signal, not independent news verification or formal settlement.
Final result
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
Final result
Gribcov Dmitri vs. Plescaci VitalieClosed
Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast.
How we read it
All linked outcomes verified
Earlier updates
- — Public tracking started; no independent probability estimate yet.; Starting public context: This market refers to the table tennis match between Gribcov Dmitri and Plescaci Vitalie in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 12 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gribcov Dmitri' if Gribcov Dmitri wins against Plescaci Vitalie. This market will resolve to 'Plescaci Vitalie' if Plescaci Vitalie wins against Gribcov Dmitri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
- — The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.; Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast.