Question trackingResolved
Egyptian PL halftime draw 99.95%: cancel resolves 'Yes' divergence?
For the October 13, 2026 Egyptian Premier League match between Abo Qir Semad SC and Asyut Petroleum SC, the halftime draw market traded at 99.95% 'Yes', but has the official result been confirmed? Given the rule that a canceled match resolves to 'Yes', could this create a divergence between the prediction market and the actual official outcome?
Closing recap
Across 2 public assessments, the state moved from “Public tracking started; no independent probability estimate yet” to “The final market result has been verified; this question is closed”. Final assessment: Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast
Closing basis
The final public baseline shows Abo Qir Semad SC vs. Asyut Petroleum SC: Draw at halftime? 100%. This is a terminal probability signal, not independent news verification or formal settlement.
Final result
The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.
Final result
Abo Qir Semad SC vs. Asyut Petroleum SC: Draw at halftime?Closed
Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast.
How we read it
All linked outcomes verified
Earlier updates
- — Public tracking started; no independent probability estimate yet.; Starting public context: In the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game between Abo Qir Semad SC and Asyut Petroleum SC, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
- — The final market result has been verified; this question is closed.; Final outcomes come from confirmed market winners or on-chain payouts, not a new model forecast.