Why Cuba is under siege: economic collapse, US blockade, and regime change pressure
Cuba is facing a severe humanitarian and economic crisis, marked by nationwide blackouts, water shortages, a collapsed healthcare system, and soaring child mortality. The average monthly wage is under $20, and an estimated fifth of the population has left since 2021. The article identifies two main causes: decades of mismanagement by Cuba's communist government and intensified US economic warfare. The immediate trigger is a US oil blockade that began in January 2026, the largest since the Cuban Missile Crisis. This followed the US seizure of Venezuela's government in January, which cut off Cuba's main oil supply. The Trump administration, citing Cuba's alliances with Russia and China and calling it a national security threat, appears to be seeking regime change by the end of 2026. Cuba has responded with a package of 176 free-market reforms, but a political settlement faces major obstacles, including a US law barring recognition of any government including Raúl Castro.