【导读】：64%的控球率换来0.06的半场xG，南非在SoFi体育场把球权盘成了毫无威胁的念珠。而坐拥“历史最强阵容”的东道主加拿大，前90分钟同样进攻哑火，直到第92分钟才靠对手的失误勉强绝杀。这是一场双方都在迷路中草草收场的淘汰赛。

64.1%的控球率，半场xG 0.06。这俩数字放一块，说明南非根本不知道拿球该干嘛。整个上半场3脚射门，没一脚让加拿大门将出过汗。SoFi体育场的草皮上，南非把球权盘成了念珠。控球十几分钟，攒不出一次像样的进球概率。摆大巴好歹是种主动选择，南非这场纯粹是公开迷路。

加拿大也没好到哪去。半场xG 1.05，账面对比南非体面十倍——扒开一看，0比0的比分一直挂到补时。前90分钟，东道主的进攻像台拧断钥匙也打不着火的破车。主帅马希5月底公布世界杯大名单时话放得挺满，“这大概是加拿大历史最强阵容”。小组赛32脚射门灌了卡塔尔6个，看着威风；碰波黑13脚射门、xG 1.25，只进1球，1-1平；对瑞士又是13脚、xG 1.34，1-2输。“大概最强”四个字上下嘴唇一碰就出来了，真到了淘汰赛，面对一支半场xG只有0.06的球队，90分钟硬是啃不下来。

第92分钟，南非后卫解围踢呲，把球喂到尤斯塔基奥嘴边。凌空抽射，绝杀。这球进在洛杉矶的SoFi体育场。今年2月，尤斯塔基奥刚从波尔图租借到LAFC。洛杉矶是他新东家的地盘。在自家俱乐部的城市，一脚把客人送回老家。

南非主帅布罗斯的算盘，从小组赛就只拨一颗珠子。2026世界杯小组赛1-0赢韩国出线后，他对着国内媒体开炮：“我们让那些大嘴巴闭嘴了。”极端实用主义确实把他抬进了队史第一次世界杯淘汰赛。但实用主义有天花板。你总得有一脚让对手后脊梁发凉的反击，对面才不敢全线压上，大巴才摆得住。南非这场连这个都没有。64%的控球率攥在手里像块烫手山芋，传不出刀口球，又舍不得扔。

戴维斯第75分钟替补上场。15个月前，就是在这片草皮，他开场12分钟右膝ACL撕裂。拜仁气得要起诉加拿大足协，经纪人公开炮轰伤情处理。这次他跑了15分钟。比分没变，哨响了。没有英雄归来，只有草草收场。

加拿大进了16强。下一轮碰荷兰，或者摩洛哥。小组赛对卡塔尔32脚射门灌了6个，对波黑13脚射门只进1球，对瑞士13脚射门、1.34的xG照样1-2输。对面是荷兰，或者摩洛哥。数据不会骗人。

参考资料

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